Daily Market Analysis

Daily Market Analysis for 18 May 2012 Close

Welcome to Objectively Defined Non-Ambiguous Market Timing Analysis.

Market Timing Direction: BEARISH since May 15 Close. See complete track record of the market timing performance.

Analysis  Direction  Timely Note
Market Breadth Pattern  Bearish On Friday we have continuation of relatively heavy selling, though not as bad as on Thursday. Bearish signals were generated again the last two days. As of now, we maintain the Short exposure. 

The market is now in a Weak market state. 

Primary Breadth Trend  Bearish The primary market breadth is now in bearish territory. Intermediate trend is therefore down.
Monetary Conditions  Bullish Monetary base is currently stable at elevated level. The Interest Rate Pump factor has also stabilized at elevated level. The monetary policy is thus still extra easy. We thus maintain long term bullish outlook.
Range Expansion  Not Favorable The window of opportunity for favorable range expansion setup to the Long side for swing trading horizon has now closed.

Note: Any change from previous day summary is highlighted in blue.

Market Breadth Pattern

Primary Market Breadth

Please refer to the following page: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$NAHL&p=D&b=4&g=0&id=p22957433685

Monetary Conditions

Note: The following charts are updated once every month. The chart was last updated on Mar 23, 2012.

Industry Rotation

Color legend:

  • BLUE: 1 year leader and 1 month leader,
  • LIGHT BLUE: 1 year leader,
  • LIGHT GREEN: 1 month leader,
  • RED: 1 year laggard and 1 month laggard,
  • MAGENTA: 1 year laggard,
  • ORANGE: 1 month laggard.

Earnings Cycle

Click on the Chart itself to see the bigger version.

Range Expansion Long-side Profitability Index

Click on the Chart itself to see the bigger version.


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