Daily Market Analysis

Daily Market Analysis for 26 Jan 2012 Close

Welcome to Objectively Defined Non-Ambiguous Market Timing Analysis.

Market Timing Direction: LONG since Jan 18 Close. See complete track record of the market timing performance.

Analysis  Direction  Timely Note
Market Breadth Pattern  Bullish Thursday was a relatively mild negative day with distribution more than accumulation. After so many consecutive positive days, a negative day is to be expected. As of now, no real selling has been observed yet. 

This system is at heart a trend following and exhaustion reversal system. Unless significant weaknesses is observed, we will maintain our Long exposure.

The market is still in a Weak market state. If the pace of accumulation continue, we might have a strong market in the next few days. If this happen, breakout swing-trading strategy will likely to do well.

Primary Breadth Trend  Bullish The primary market breadth has now turned into bullish territory.
Monetary Conditions  Bullish Monetary base started to decline. However, short-term interest is still much lower than longer term interest rate. Thus, Interest Rate Pump factor continues to rise. Monetary policy is still extra easy.

Note: Any change from previous day summary is highlighted in blue.

Market Breadth Pattern

Primary Market Breadth

Please refer to the following page: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$NAHL&p=D&b=4&g=0&id=p22957433685

Monetary Conditions

Note: The following charts are updated once every month. The chart was last updated on Nov 30, 2011.

Industry Rotation

Color legend:

  • BLUE: 1 year leader and 1 month leader,
  • LIGHT BLUE: 1 year leader,
  • LIGHT GREEN: 1 month leader,
  • RED: 1 year laggard and 1 month laggard,
  • MAGENTA: 1 year laggard,
  • ORANGE: 1 month laggard.

Earnings Cycle

Click on the Chart itself to see the bigger version.


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